Meloni Reassesses Alliance with Trump as Political and Economic Pressures Mount
Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni is increasingly distancing herself from U.S. President Donald Trump, as shifting political realities and the ongoing Middle East conflict reshape her strategy ahead of key elections.
Once seen as Trump’s closest European ally, Meloni had cultivated a strong personal and political relationship with the U.S. leader. She was the only European head of government invited to Trump’s 2025 inauguration and had positioned herself as a bridge between Washington and European capitals.
However, the U.S.-Israel war involving Iran has become a turning point. During a recent visit to the Gulf region, Meloni publicly disagreed with Washington’s stance, stating, “When we don’t agree, we must say it.” Italy also reportedly refused to allow U.S. bombers to refuel at a military base, signaling a clear shift in tone.
Analysts say Meloni’s balancing act—maintaining ties with Trump while addressing domestic concerns—has become increasingly difficult. Public opinion in Italy has turned against the war, driven by rising energy prices and economic uncertainty. Polls indicate a sharp drop in favorable views of Trump among Italians, from 35% to 19%.
The political impact is already visible. A recent referendum backed by Meloni’s government was rejected by voters, particularly younger demographics, in what analysts interpret as a broader protest against her alignment with Trump and his foreign policy approach.
Economically, Italy faces mounting challenges. As one of Europe’s largest natural gas consumers, the country is highly vulnerable to disruptions caused by instability in the Gulf, particularly around the Strait of Hormuz—a key global energy route. Rising energy costs, reduced growth forecasts, and fiscal pressures have added to the government’s difficulties.
Despite the shift, Meloni is unlikely to completely sever ties with Trump. Political observers suggest she will continue to gradually recalibrate her position, moving closer to European allies while avoiding a direct rupture with Washington.
Experts describe her approach as cautious and pragmatic, aimed at preserving diplomatic flexibility while responding to domestic political realities.
As elections approach, Meloni’s evolving stance reflects a broader challenge faced by European leaders—balancing transatlantic alliances with growing internal pressures and an increasingly volatile geopolitical landscape.
